Which Experts Predicted A Florida St.-Auburn BCS Title Game?

Originally published on Pundit Tracker.

A few months back, we outlined the prediction ineptitude of baseball pundits, who went 0-for-63 on predicting either the Red Sox or Cardinals to make the World Series. In fact, not one pundit picked the Red Sox to win even their division.

Well, the MLB pundits now have some company, as none of the 30 college pundits we tracked (from ESPN, CBS, and NFL.com) picked either Florida State or Auburn to make the BCS Title game. Instead, here is what they predicted going into the season.

BCS Championship Matchup# PunditsComments
Alabama-Ohio St11
Alabama-Oregon7
Alabama-Stanford6
Alabama-Oklahoma St1Todd McShay
LSU-Stanford1Desmond Howard
Oregon-Clemson1Danny Kannell
Texas A&M-Ohio St1Spencer Tillman
Alabama-Clemson1Gary Danielson
Louisville-Ohio St1Tim Brando

We also tracked 35 pundits who make predictions on conference winners for each of the six "BCS Conferences." First, here were the collective picks.

AmericanACCBig 12Big TenPac 12SEC
Louisville (35)Clemson (24)Texas (13)Ohio St (33)Oregon (19)Alabama (32)
Florida St (8)Oklahoma (4)Michigan (2)Stanford (15)Georgia (1)
Miami (3)Oklahoma St (10) UCLA (1)LSU (1)
Baylor (5) Texas A&M (1)
TCU (3)


Only eight of the pundits picked Florida St to win the ACC, while the pundits whiffed entirely on the American, Big Ten, and SEC. Now here are the individual results, sorted by Yield. Recall that Yield measures the average payout had you bet $1 on each of the pundit's predictions based on moneyline odds. The idea is to give pundits more credit for out-of-consensus picks.

PunditAmericanACCBig 12Big TenPac 12SECHit RateYield
Total Tally0/358/355/350/3515/350/3511%$0.66
Bruce FeldmanLOUCLEMBAYOSUSTANBAMA33%$3.01
Jerry HinnenLOUFSUBAYOSUOREGBAMA33%$2.66
Brian GrieseLOUCLEMBAYOSUOREGBAMA13%$1.56
Travis HaneyLOUCLEMBAYOSUOREGBAMA13%$1.56
Dan GreenspanLOUCLEMBAYOSUOREGBAMA13%$1.56
Lee CorsoLOUFSUTEXOSUSTANBAMA25%$1.13
Rece DavisLOUFSUTEXOSUSTANBAMA25%$1.13
Mike HugueninLOUFSUOKSTOSUSTANBAMA25%$1.13
Tony BarnhartLOUCLEMOKSTOSUSTANBAMA17%$0.93
Dennis DoddLOUCLEMOKSTOSUSTANTAMU17%$0.93
Jerry PalmLOUCLEMTEXOSUSTANBAMA17%$0.93
Tom FornelliLOUCLEMOKLAOSUSTANBAMA17%$0.93
Kirk HerbstreitLOUCLEMOKSTOSUSTANBAMA13%$0.69
Desmond HowardLOUMIAOKSTMICHSTANLSU13%$0.69
Tom LuginbillLOUCLEMTEXOSUSTANBAMA13%$0.69
Trevor MatichLOUCLEMOKSTOSUSTANBAMA13%$0.69
Jesse PalmerLOUCLEMTEXOSUSTANBAMA13%$0.69
Joe SchadLOUMIATEXOSUSTANBAMA13%$0.69
Charles DavisLOUCLEMOKLAOSUSTANBAMA13%$0.69
Jeremy FowlerLOUFSUTEXOSUOREGBAMA17%$0.57
Mark SchlabachLOUFSUTEXOSUOREGBAMA13%$0.43
Daniel JeremiahLOUFSUOKSTOSUOREGBAMA13%$0.43
Chase GoodbreadLOUFSUTEXOSUOREGBAMA13%$0.43
Todd BlackledgeLOUMIATCUOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00
Paul FinebaumLOUCLEMTEXOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00
Joey GallowayLOUCLEMOKSTOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00
Brock HuardLOUCLEMTCUOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00
Danny KanellLOUCLEMTEXMICHOREGUGA0%$0.00
Ivan MaiselLOUCLEMTEXOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00
Todd McShayLOUCLEMOKSTOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00
Chris SpielmanLOUCLEMOKLAOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00
Andre WareLOUCLEMTCUOSUUCLABAMA0%$0.00
Gil BrandtLOUCLEMTEXOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00
Bucky BrooksLOUCLEMOKLAOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00
Chip PattersonLOUCLEMOKSTOSUOREGBAMA0%$0.00


To make your own predictions on the BCS Bowl games and build up your own public track record, visit our NCAA Football master page.

PunditTracker's mission is to bring accountability to the prediction industry by cataloging and scoring the predictions of pundits.

Original images via Getty